Wednesday Roundup: Balance sheets and indicators lift investors spirits; War escalates; What to watch for

April 27, 2022 By: WealthMintr Team

BALANCE SHEETS AND DATA MEASURING CONSUMER SPENDING GUIDE THE MARKETS, WITH AN EYE ON THE GEOPOLITICAL CONFLICT; EUROPEAN STOCKS AND US INDEX FUTURES RISE

Markets on Wednesday continued to be guided by the crop of balance sheets, today with companies of the stature of Meta, and indicators that give clues about the resistance of economies to soaring inflation and constant threats to the supply chain. In addition, investors take advantage of recent stock market crashes to buy assets at a lower price.

After positioning themselves at the worst levels since mid-March, both European stocks and index futures in the United States are up. In Europe, Mercedes-Benz AG and Michelin lifted spirits and helped push the Stoxx 600 forward.

In the US, Microsoft shares helped shore up earnings as the company reported better-than-expected first-quarter results. The balance sheets of US companies are providing the markets with some solace, as around 80% of companies have managed to exceed analysts’ expectations.

US Treasury bonds were losing value, with 10-year bonds offering a 2.77% premium. Even so, the premiums are lower than last week.

CONSUMER CONFIDENCE TAKES A HIT

In both the United States and Europe, indicators are foreseen that show the situation of consumer spending. In Germany, for example, consumer confidence fell in May to an all-time low: -26.5 points, against expectations of -16.0 and -15.7 in the April reading, according to data released today by the GfK institute.

The indicator was worse than the record in May 2020, when the first Covid-19 lockdown took place in Germany. The war in Ukraine raises costs for families and hopes for a solid post-pandemic recovery.

EXPECTATIONS AROUND GDP

Tomorrow the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be released and expectations are high regarding this indicator, as it should show the first effects of the war in Ukraine and the inflation that the confrontation has generated.

WAR ESCALATES

Russia has halted gas deliveries to Poland, the latest increase in tensions between Moscow and European capitals over energy supplies. Russia’s Gazprom PJSC said it has cut off gas flows to Poland and Bulgaria and will keep supplies off until the two countries agree to Moscow’s demand to pay for the fuel in rubles.

The European Union has rejected the ruble payment in principle, saying it violates sanctions and strengthens Russia. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said the EU’s gas coordination group was meeting to chart a joint response to Russia’s “unjustified and unacceptable” decision to use gas supplies as “blackmail”.

European gas prices rose more than 20%, while the euro fell to the lowest level against the dollar since April 2017. And because of geopolitical tension, oil remained high, reaching more than US$ 102 per month. barrel for WTI contracts.

TUESDAY’S NUMBERS

DOW JONES (-2,38%), S&P 500 (-2,81%), NASDAQ COMPOSITE (-3,95%), STOXX 600 (-0,90%), IBOVESPA (-2,23%)

US stock markets tumbled sharply, dragged down by a sell-off in tech stocks hours before the release of quarterly earnings from Alphabet and Microsoft. Market sentiment was also affected by fears over a slowing economy and the possibility of the Fed tightening monetary policy. Russia will also cut off gas to Poland and Bulgaria, facing a threat to cut supplies to countries that refuse Vladimir Putin’s new demand to pay for fuel in rubles.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR

WEDNESDAY

  • US: 30-Year Mortgage Applications and Interest – MBA; MBA Purchasing Index; Goods/Mar Trade Balance; Retail Inventory Level excluding Automobiles/Mar; Wholesale Inventories; Pending Sales of Houses/Mar; Activity of Oil refineries by the EIA; EIA Weekly Report of Distillates Inventories
  • Europe: Germany (Consumer Confidence GfK/May); France (Consumer Confidence/Apr)
  • Asia: Japan (Industrial Production/Mar); Retail/Mar Sales
  • Latin America: Brazil (IPCA-15/Apr; Bank Loans/Feb); Mexico (Trade/Mar Balance); Foreign Exchange Flow
  • Central Banks: Speeches by Christine Lagarde (President of the ECB), Johannes Beermann (Bundensbank), and Tiff Macklem (Bank of Canada)
  • Balance sheets: LG, Meta, Vale, T-Mobile, Qualcomm, Amgen, Yara, Boeing, PayPal, Canadian Pacific, GlaxoSmithKline, Mercedes-Benz, Iberdrola, Ford, Kraft Heinz, Hess, Lloyds, Spotify, UniCredit, Credit Suisse, Hertz

THURSDAY

  • US: GDP/1Q22; Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance; PCE/1Q22 prices; Consumer Spending/1Q22; Kansas Fed Industrial Activity Index/Apr; Natural Gas Stock
  • Europe: Euro Zone (Business and Consumer Confidence/Apr; Business Climate/Apr; Consumer Inflation Expectations/Apr); Germany (IPC/Apr); Spain (IPC; Unemployment Rate); Spain, Italy and Portugal (Confidência Empresarial/Apr)
  • Asia: China (Caixin Manufacturing PMI/Mar)
  • Latin America: Brazil (IGP-M/Mar; Employment Evolution Index of CAGED/Mar; IPP/Mar; CMN Meeting); Mexico (Unemployment Rate/Mar; Fiscal Balance/Mar)
  • Central Banks: Monetary Policy Decision and Bank of Japan (BoJ) Projection Report. ECB Monthly Report. Speech by Luis de Guindos, Elizabeth McCaul, Frank Elderson (BCE)
  • Balance sheets: Samsung, Apple, Amazon, Mastercard, Eli Lilly, Thermo Fisher Scientific, Merck, Comcast, Intel, McDonald’s, Swedbank, Linde, Sanofi, Caterpillar, TotalEnergies, Gilead Sciences, Twitter, Nordic Semiconductor, PG&E, Southwest Airlines, Nokia, Barclays, Repsol, Carlyle, Zendesk, Roku