Thursday Roundup: Markets struggle to rise; All eyes on balance sheets and bonds; What to watch for

April 21, 2022 By: WealthMintr Team

In Europe, stocks have been positive since opening; S&P and Dow futures struggle to stay positive, but Nasdaq contracts surrender to Netflix crash

North American markets, whose tone had deteriorated since yesterday’s close, are struggling to position themselves in the positive field. But the results of Netflix, whose shares fell as much as 27% before the stock market opened, cooled the mood of investors in the early hours of the day. In Europe, however, the movement of purchases exceeds that of sales since the opening of the exchanges.

THE MAIN DRIVERS FOR THE MARKETS TODAY ARE CORPORATE BALANCE SHEETS AND THE BEHAVIOR OF THE SOVEREIGN BOND MARKET.

The contracts linked to the S&P and the Dow Jones were discreetly rising. On the other hand, Nasdaq futures remained in the red, pressured, above all, by Netflix, which lost subscribers for the first time since 2011. Bank of America and Nomura Asset Management that fears of inflation have gone too far. The US bank estimates that inflation will peak this quarter and will decline steadily in 2023.

The European indicator Stoxx 600 rose as investors kept an eye on corporate earnings and the second round of France’s presidential elections on Sunday. Today Danone SA and Heineken NV reported a seven-year increase in sales.

ALL EYES ON BONDS

The real yield on 10-year US Treasuries turned positive for the first time since March 2020. This not only points to tighter funding conditions, but could also overshadow the attractiveness of investing in assets such as equities. Bond premiums remain one of the main drivers of investor sentiment.

CHINA KEEPS INTEREST GOING

On the microeconomic front, China maintained interest rates on its loans this morning for the third time in a row. The prime rate for one-year leases was maintained at 3.7%. Nine of 16 economists surveyed by Bloomberg expected a cut. The five-year rate, a benchmark for long-term loans including mortgages, was unchanged at 4.6%. The country has prioritized economic expansion, especially now that it has had to restrict mobility due to new Covid.

MACRO DATA

Among the macro data that came out this morning, a highlight for March industrial prices in Germany, which rose by no less than 30.9%. The figure exceeds the analysts’ estimate, which was +28.2% for the period, and the February reading (+25.9%). European Union car sales in March also disappointed: there was a 20.5% drop in 12 months and a 12.3% year-to-date drop.

TUESDAY’S NUMBERS

DOW JONES (+1,45%), S&P 500 (+1,61%), NASDAQ COMPOSITE (+2,15%), STOXX 600 (-0,77%), IBOVESPA (-0,55%)

US stocks bounced back from Monday’s losses, with the appreciation spanning virtually all sectors. Corporate balance sheets supported the good mood. As of yesterday’s closing, 79% of companies had surprised positively with their financial statements, according to a Bloomberg survey.

WHAT TO WATCH FOR

WEDNESDAY

  • US: IMF meetings; Beige Book; MBA Mortgage Applications; Interest on 30 Year Mortgages; MBA Purchasing Index; Sales of Used Homes/Mar; Activity of Oil refineries by the EIA; Crude Oil Inventories; Gasoline Inventories
  • Europe: Eurozone (Industrial Production/Feb; Trade Balance); Germany (IPP/Mar); United Kingdom, Germany and France (Vehicle/Mar Licensing); France (French President Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen debate tonight ahead of Sunday’s presidential elections)
  • Asia: Japan (Tertiary Industry Activity Index)
  • Latin America: Brazil (Federal Tax Revenue); Argentina (Trade Balance)
  • Central Banks: Speeches by Mary Daly (FOMC/Fed), Charles Evans (Chicago Fed), Joachim Nagel (President of Bundensbank)
  • Balance sheets: Tesla, Procter & Gamble, Abbott Labs, BHP Billiton, Heineken NV, Danone, Baker Hughes, Telstra Corporation, Nasdaq, Carrefour, Alcoa, Usiminas, United Airlines, Accor

THURSDAY

  • US: IMF meetings; Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance; Industrial Activity Index Philadelphia Fed/Apr; Philadelphia Fed Business Conditions Index/Apr; Philadelphia/Apr Fed Jobs Report; US/Mar Antecedent Indicator Index; Natural Gas Stock
  • Europe: Eurozone (IPC/Mar; Construction Sector Production/Feb; IHCP excluding Energy and Food/Mar; Consumer Confidence/Apr); France (Survey in Companies/Apr); UK (GfK Consumer Confidence)
  • Asia: Hong Kong (Unemployment Rate/Mar); Japan (National CPI/Mar; Industrial PMI/Apr; Services PMI)
  • Latin America: Argentina (Economic Activity/Feb), Brazil (Holiday – Tiradentes Day)
  • Central Banks: Speeches by Jerome Powell (Fed Chair), Christine Lagarde (ECB Chair), Andrew Bailey (BoE Chair), Anna Sweeney and Catherine Mann (BoE);
  • Balance sheets: Nestle, AT&T, Philip Morris, Blackstone Group, Anglo American, Dow, Astra, Akzo Nobel, American Airlines, Nielsen, Xerox, Danaher, NextEra Energy, Union Pacific