10-30-2018 Todd’s Market Update

October 30, 2018 By: Todd Mitchell

Bears Stay Aggressive During October Correction

U.S. markets wrapped up a volatile week with fresh monthly lows as corporate earnings and continued trade rhetoric weighed on sentiment. Larry Kudlow, head of President Trump’s National Economic Council, accused China of refusing to engage on trade issues.Chinese officials are said to be bracing for a prolonged fight and are focusing on adapting to a new normality in relations. Meanwhile, volatility continues to stay elevated with a bullish technical pattern in process and still a major warning signal for the market.

The Nasdaq sank 2.1% while tapping a low of 7,057. Early May support at 7,100-7,000 was split with both levels holding into the closing bell.The Russell 2000 fell 1.1% following the morning fade to 1,459. February and upper support at 1,460-1,450 was breached with risk to 1,425 on continued weakness.Tech was down 3.8% for the week while the small-caps gave back 3.9%.The S&P 500 was off 1.7% after bottoming at 2,628 on Friday. Late April and upper support at 2,625-2,600 held with risk to 2,550 and February lows on a move below the latter.The Dow dropped 1.2% after sinking to a first half low of 24,445. Lower support from late June at 24,500-24,250 was breached with both levels holding into the close.For the week, the S&P 500 tanked 3.9% and the Dow was hit for a 3% loss.There was no sector strength on Friday. Consumer Discretionary led sector weakness after plummeting 3.1%. Communication Services and Real Estate declined 2.7% and 2.6%, respectively.For the week, Consumer Staples and Real Estate rallied 2.6% while Utilities rose 1.2% to round out the winners. Energy was slammed for 7.2% while Industrials were punished for 5% and were the biggest losers.

ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES

​GrubHub (GRUB) upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman SachsSix Flags (SIX) upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Macquarie withTwitter (TWTR) upgraded to Outperform from Perform at Oppenheimer​Colgate-Palmolive (CL) downgraded to Hold from Buy at SunTrustKraton (KRA) downgraded to Hold from Buy at SunTrustWestern Digital (WDC) downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Longbow

EARNINGS

Monday’s earnings announcements (EST): 

Before the open: ​Alliance Resource Partners (ARLP), Bloomin’ Brands (BLMN), Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB), Dana Holding (DAN), First Data (FDC), Mercury General (MCY), Stoneridge (SRI), Tower International (TOWR), Yandex (YNDX)

After the close: 8×8 (EGHT), Akamai Technologies (AKAM), Blackbaud (BLKD), Chegg (CHGG), EPR Properties (EPR), FTS International (FTSI), Harmonic (HLIT), KLA-Tencor (KLAC), Mondelez International (MDLZ). Nautilus (NLS), QCR Holdings (QCRH), Rambus (RMBS), TimKen (TKR), UDR (UDR), Vornado Realty Trust (VNO), Wingstop (WING)

 

UPCOMING ECONOMIC NEWS Monday’s Economic Reports (EST):Personal Income and Outlays – 8:30amDallas Fed Manufacturing Survey – 10:30am

METALS / OIL

Gold closed at $1,235.80 an ounce, up $3.40Silver settled at $14.70 an ounce, down $0.07

Copper finished at $2.74 a pound, down $0.01

Crude Oil is at $667.62 a barrel, up $0.64

Bitcoin Investment Trust (GBTC) ended at $6.97 down $0.07

  I hope this helps you prepare for the trading day. Make it a great one!

   Todd Mitchell

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